July 29, 2025

Peer Recovery Pays Off: Three Numbers Every Health Care Leader Should Know

Third Horizon

Third Horizon

Peer recovery isn’t just compassionate care — it’s the smartest investment in addiction treatment.

That was the takeaway from Greg Williams at the Alliance for Addiction Payment Reform’s (AAPR) June meeting, where new data and field examples reframed peer support as a high-ROI strategy for systems change.  A companion white paper, “The Value Proposition for Peer Recovery Support Services,” backs the claim with national Medicaid data and real-world case studies from New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Colorado. Below are the three numbers every health care finance leader should know.

(For the full story, download the white paper and watch the meeting replay on YouTube.)

1 — Show Me the Money

Only 2.1 percent of Medicaid members living with a substance use disorder ever receive peer recovery support, while 42.9 percent cycle through hospital emergency departments (ED). The economics are enormous: our health care system funds the costliest interventions and under-resources the least expensive.

Peer services consistently reduce inpatient services and ED visits, driving total-cost-of-care savings that health plans could realize. A federal analysis of peer-support financing found “significant cost offsets tied to fewer acute events” across multiple states.[i] Even modest reallocation—say, shifting a small percent of current emergency-care spending into peer services—could finance statewide networks.

 

2 — Proof in Practice: New Hampshire’s 10 percent Budget Bump

New Hampshire’s Harbor Care and 20 Recovery Community Centers fed local outcomes into a cost calculator. The result? Legislators approved a 10 percent increase in state recovery funding in the very next budget cycle.[ii]

How they did it

Step Action Why it worked
1. Capture clean metrics ED visits avoided, housing stability gains, wage growth for participants Translated “stories” into budget lines
2. Run the calculator Converted outcomes into dollar savings using Medicaid and state cost data Lawmakers saw net gains, not new spending
3. Hand legislators scenarios Showed how reallocating existing funds could scale peer centers Made the ask budget-neutral

The template they used sits in the white paper’s appendix, so any state can replicate the exercise. New Hampshire’s evaluation report further documents year-one outcomes—higher employment rates and lower readmissions among peer-coached members.[iii]

3 — Fix the Payment Plumbing

Great programs stall without the right reimbursement. June’s meeting highlighted three payment breakthroughs that remove long-standing barriers for community-based organizations (CBOs).

a) The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) tells states: “Peers can supervise peers.”

A June 2024 CMS FAQ clarifies that states may classify “experienced peer supporters” as the competent mental-health professionals required to supervise billable services.[iv] The language amends no statute; it simply unlocks flexibility that the State Medicaid Director Letter 07-011 allowed back in 2007, but clarifies that a clinical supervisor is not required.[v]

Why it matters: Peer-run CBOs who most often do not employ licensed professionals no longer need to contract external clinicians just to qualify to bill Medicaid, opening up new opportunities for existing CBOs that previously were boxed out from qualifying given their infrastructure and staff composition.

b) Beyond the 15-minute hamster wheel

Billing in 15-minute units “doesn’t model the type of work we do,” explained Robert Ashford, Executive Director of Unity Recovery. National practice standards support moving to bundled, per-member payments or shared-savings contracts that reward outcomes, not paperwork.[vi] Peer services are non-clinical, person-centered, and uniquely positioned to engage individuals across the continuum of recovery—often reaching those disconnected from traditional systems of care.

Three numbers—2  percent uptake, 10 percent budget gain, and 1 pivotal CMS rule—paint a clear ROI picture. If you control budgets, here’s your next move:

  1. Read the white paper for the full evidence base.
  2. Watch the quarterly-meeting replay to hear the practitioners themselves.
  3. Tag your state Medicaid director or health-plan partner and ask, “When can we pilot a bundled rate for peer recovery?”

The dollars already exist—let’s spend them smarter. Peer recovery isn’t charity; it’s fiscal common sense.

Third Horizon is a boutique advisory firm focused on shaping a future system that actualizes a sustainable culture of health nationwide. The firm offers a 360º view of complex challenges across three horizons – past, present, and future – to help industry leaders and policymakers interpret signals and trends; design integrated systems; and enact changes so that all communities, families, and individuals can thrive.